Wow. People Really Grokked Biases. Let’s Tackle Fallacies.
Hey there!
The last two videos I released dealt with common biases we have when we analyze ideas and issue presented to us. And viewers commented and sent me private email like crazy.
OK. Let’s talk about biases’ more insidious and dangerous cousins: fallacies. Fallacies are traps we fall into that prevent us from moving forward because there’s a problem with the logical progression of our thinking.
Let’s look at a few that were gathered in a list by August Birch, who calls himself the Book Mechanic, who tries to help his clients the way I try to help my viewers: to think more clearly and be more successful. We’ll examine 3 big ones today, and the rest over the next few episodes.
Hope this helps!
David
Raw YouTube Captioning
Hey there, it’s David H. Lawrence. Xvii just got finished doing a series of videos on common biases.
That we all tend to have when we analyze ideas when we look at issues that are presented to us.
lots of comments
Lots of private emails. I don’t really want to post this. Can you just like understand what’s going on and really?
in general police post, you know, you can change people’s names and genders and and the situations and stuff if you want
to
But literally the benefits that people get from the questions that you ask in the comments that you make.
It’s really important to the conversation. I don’t want it to be just like
a private conversation between you and me because everybody can benefit right so
What are the things that I wanted to talk about? Because it touch such a nerve with people.
diocese
Have a more Insidious and kind of vicious cousin.
and those are fallacies by and sees
Are natural tendencies towards One Thing versus another fallacies are downright wrong.
Fallacies are just false.
And I want to spend the next few videos talking about some major fallacies just to make sure you’re aware of them.
So that when you are considering situations, you can say how wait a minute wait a minute. This sounds familiar.
Let me see whether I’m I’m falling prey to one of these fallacies.
Now this was all started by an article that I recently read by August Birch August calls himself the book mechanic and his
big mission in life is to get people to write and publish.
They’re books to get them writing a book and that’s no mean feat.
So I really admire August for his tenacity on that.
So he talked about a series of fallacies. I’ve got some others that I’ve been aware of.
Let’s deal with three of them first. I want to talk to you about the bandwagon fallacy.
The bandwagon fallacy pretty easy to kind of picture in your head what that might be and that is that we tend to fall in
line with a certain Behavior or certain believe because everybody else does we’re jumping on the bandwagon. Well look,
if it’s good enough for all these people must be good enough, so
Why not being good enough for me. It’s less work. I don’t have to worry about whether it’s actually true or not.
And you know, you you’ve heard various incarnations of this throughout your life when you were a kid is like. Oh really?
If Johnny Smith wanted you to walk off the end of a pier would you do that or jump off a building would you do it? You
know, we’ve seen examples where psychology students love to do this.
The queue up a bunch of people in front of a store.
and
People will start to queue up get in line behind them without even knowing why.
You know, it’s just cuz other people are or the walk down the street and they’ll look at something on a building.
And they’ll wait for other people to start looking at those things on a building, right?
We should be looking cuz other people are looking right in our business.
punch and roll with Pro Tools
Everybody does it why not right?
Well, I think that’s a fallacy. I think that there are lots of options not the least of which is something a little
something on the stair step method.
And audacity, but that’s just me.
Shut the second one. You’re the bandwagon fallacy. The second one is.
the whole unit fallacy
and the whole unit fallacy is really fun because
What happens is we tend to?
Look at things.
And are more comfortable with how they appear to us.
If they’re being presented in whole units.
super example
I half gallon or gallon of milk.
People will buy that as opposed to a quart or a pint of milk if that’s all they need for a recipe because that’s what
they’ve heard a gallon of milk, right?
or a dozen eggs
or in our business
05 chapter 5 Hour book that’s long 10-hour book that’s long.
Whenever book not so long 11-hour book way too long.
and it depends on your idea of a unit, you know, some people they
You know don’t have that concept or they have fewer concepts of that.
another way this kind of raises its ugly head and if you ever heard this before
people tend to be
more
punctual moron time more often
if they’re asked to be
at
events at appointments
They’re not set for on the hour or on the half-hour.
so if you make an appointment with somebody at
320
They’re very much likely. They’re very much more likely.
To be there on time even ahead of time then they would have you said 3 or 3:30.
And we see this all the time in the world of auditions because you know, I had it I had a call back yesterday and my time
my callback time was 427.
You don’t think I got there well before 4:30, right? Cuz it’s like oh 427 y 427 because this unit fallacy. It makes us pay
attention to it.
And then the third one.
Is the status quo fallacy now, this is kind of like the bandwagon fallacy but a little bit different it deals with the
historical nature.
of what we’re looking at so
we prefer things in our environment and
In our situations and in our processes and our plans.
To go with things that have been done before, you know, it’s always been done this way. So it must be right.
the status quo
And there’s a reason for that, you know people tend to also, you know fall back on the phrase.
the devil known
Is better than the devil unknown?
so you’re like doubling your risk if you not only try something new but try something that’s
New and hasn’t been tried by other people yet.
Right. So the status quo fallacy can be something that we fall prey to and there’s ways to
About all of these the bandwagon fallacy is because other people are doing it doesn’t mean you have to do it.
and we tend to
Be more able to adjust to that because we’re artists.
Right, and we don’t want to necessarily copy what other artists or do we have our own drummer?
That we that we March to the beat of right?
the unit fallacy
Just look around and see how people really react to odd units. Oh, the book is 3.74 hours long not long at all.
Well, it’s longer than a two-hour book.
It’s longer than a three and a half hour book.
But it’s not an even unit. So it’s like okay and the status quo fallacy just because something has been done that way
forever.
Doesn’t mean that it’s our best bet for the future.
And I don’t think there’s ever been a time in history.
Save, maybe the Industrial Revolution.
when
This is more true.
That the change that we see coming and the difference is in the in the approaches that we have.
are just so vibrant and so
so clear
So bandwagon fallacy unit fallacy status quo fallacy. Do you feel any of these in your life? Leave me a comment? Let me
know if any of these things have popped up for you or if you remember any situation where these have you know, sort of
been
a part of your Miss judgments or miscalculations on things
If you’re watching this video on VO2 gogo.com just leave a comment below the video If you’re not go there cuz we got all
kinds of great stuff for you. If you go to google.com if you’d like to become a member of my YouTube channel And subscribe
to it and getting get notified when these new videos come out. We’re doing them once a day for the rest of the year. Go
ahead and click on my face there if there’s no face there look for a subscribe button somewhere below this video.
If you want to see the latest episode of done click on that frame and YouTube will play it for you. I’m David H Lawrence
xvii. I so appreciate you watching.
And I will talk to you tomorrow.
The unit fallacy struck a note. A family member started a few years ago setting meetings and parties at odd times, like 6:23pm or 1:47 etc. Drove me nuts. I found myself always working in 15 minute increments. So instead of say 6:23, it would become 6:15 or 6:30 depending on the importance of the meeting.